Golden Rule: Visual Effects Oscar Shortlist

It’s the most wonderful time of the year: Oscar Season! We’ve posted a few articles about the race thus far, including a look at the nominees for the Independent Spirit Awards, a rundown of how the Globes may have changed the Oscar race in a few categories, and the current Shortlist for Makeup and Hairstyling. Leading up to the announcement of the Oscar Nominees, we’re going to look at where things stand via shortlists and other Award Nominations. Today we’re going to look at the final shortlist for the category of Visual Effects for the Oscars.

Just like Makeup and Hairstyling, this is a category where the members of the Academy voting only get a 10-minute excerpt, so it’s hard to tell where the nominees may land. But the list of ten films shortlisted is as follows:

Alien: CovenantDunkirk poster
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
Kong: Skull Island
Okja
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets
War for the Planet of the Apes

I’m gonna call it now and say that the five nominees end up being:
War for the Planet of the Apes
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
Kong: Skull Island
The Shape of Water
Dunkirk

Here’s why:

Kong recreated a well-known cinematic character. That always tends to play in a film’s favor. (I’m willing to bet that’s why Suicide Squad got the Oscar last year for Hair and Makeup, re: Joker) The Shape of Water will likely be nominated for every possible category, so that gets a spot. Dunkirk gets it for being a war film. Guardians gets it for obvious reasons, including Rocket and Baby Groot. And War for the Planet of the Apes gets a spot because it would be a travesty not to include it. It’s hard for me to say that any of the other films will actually take a spot from the five I listed, although Blade Runner may stand a chance because it’s a continuation of a Sci-Fi epic. So we’ll see.

This is one of the few categories where things seem like they should be clear-cut, but as always, things could always change drastically for one reason or another. We’ll see how everything turns out when the Oscar Nominees are announced this Tuesday, January 24th and when the Oscars take place on March 4th at 8pm ET on ABC. Be sure to keep following Poor Man’s Spoiler for all of your Oscar Coverage needs.

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