Golden Rule: ASC Frame Up Oscar Hopefuls

Earlier this month the American Society of Cinematographers announced the nominees for the Best Cinematography of 2017. As part of our Oscar coverage, we’re taking a look at Oscar shortlists and other Awards nominees. Today we’re going to see how this group may mold the Oscar nominations. You can check out the full list of ASC Award nominees here, but we’re going to focus on the films for today.

In the past 10 years, at least 4/5 nominated films get the Oscar nomination; 6 out of 10 years, the same film wins both, making this one of the categories that lines up more than most. Here’s the list of films nominated for an ASC Award:

Roger Deakins, ASC, BSC for Blade Runner 2049
Bruno Delbonnel, ASC, AFC for Darkest Hour
Hoyte van Hoytema, ASC, FSF, NSC for Dunkirk
Dan Laustsen, ASC, DFF for The Shape of Water
Rachel Morrison, ASC for Mudbound

Morrison made history this year as the first woman ever nominated, and I’m inclined to believe that this year’s Oscar nominees may mirror this group exactly. Mudbound is a very hard egg to crack this year, as it’s being nominated by almost every guild, and said nominees are mostly women. At a time where Hollywood is embracing female empowerment, it’d be easy to think that Morrison could get the Oscar nod and maybe even the win. But, as we’ve said time and time again, it’s a Netflix film. As such, it’s the biggest underdog in any race. If this list is who we get for Oscar nominees, it’ll be hard to say who gets the Oscar. Will Morrison win and make history? Will Hoytema win since Dunkirk is a war film? Will Deakins win for the beautiful imagery of Blade Runner/the fact that he’s still Oscar-less? (despite 13 nominations. 13!!) There’s really no telling.

This is one of many categories in which the Oscar winners are difficult to predict, but it’s fairly certain that at the very least 4/5 of these artists make the cut when the Oscar nominees are announced tomorrow, January 24th. We’ll see if any of them gain more momentum when the winners of the ASC Awards are announced on February 17th. And we’ll see who takes home the Oscar on March 4th at 8pm ET on ABC.

Blade Runner 2049.png

 

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