Leading up to the 90th Academy Awards on March 4th, we’re diving into as many of the nominated films as possible to look at what their chances are for taking home the Oscar. Today we’re looking at Lady Bird, which is nominated for Best Picture, Best Director (Greta Gerwig), Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role (Saoirse Ronan), Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role (Laurie Metcalf), Best Original Screenplay.
Lady Bird is a coming of age story that follows Christine “Lady Bird” McPherson through her senior year of high school. The film examines her relationship with her family and what it’s like to be a teenager. Much of the film centers on Lady Bird’s difficult relationship with her mother (Laurie Metcalf). The film is beautiful, heartbreaking, hopeful, enthralling, and nearly perfect. There isn’t a single moment throughout this film that feels out of place. There isn’t a single aspect of this film that doesn’t work. Lady Bird may literally be the best film of 2017. Period.
That being said, it may not take home many awards. Saoirse Ronan deserves the Oscar, and Greta Gerwig deserves every Oscar she’s nominated for. Laurie Metcalf deserves the Oscar. But Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) will probably win Best Actress. Allison Janney (I, Tonya) will probably win Best Supporting Actress. Three Billboards will probably win Best Picture. And Guillermo del Toro (The Shape of Water) will probably win Best Director. As of now, the film’s best shot at an Oscar is Best Original Screenplay. Gerwig wrote the script and will likely win her first Oscar. The only way she may lose is if the Academy decides to give the Oscar to Jordan Peele instead for Get Out.
Overall, this is a battle between Gerwig, Peele, and del Toro. One of them will win Director. One of them will win Original Screenplay. And one of them will probably go home empty-handed. The question is, which way does the Academy vote? There is a chance that one of them will take home both because it could split the wrong way when everything lands. But overall this will be their night.
Lady Bird is currently available on DVD, Digital and Blu-Ray. Be sure to keep following Poor Man’s Spoiler for all of our Oscar coverage. The Oscars air on ABC on March 4th at 8pm ET.